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Gorbachev addresses future
GORBACHEV TO ANNOUNCE SOVIET UNION'S FUTURE
June 7, 1989
MOSCOW (Reuters)
Soviet Premier Mikhail Gorbachev will speak tonight about
the future of the USSR. Gorbachev's speech is expected to frame a message
of hope and determination for the Soviet people, fueled by the recent
discovery of the largest oil reserve known to man, in Siberia.
Spokesmen for Gorbachev state that the Premier's address will be "radiant
in its broad vision" for "present and future prospects" of the Soviet Union.
Other sources admit that the speech will outline several bold new initiatives
that would have been impossible only four months earlier, before the oil strike.
A revitalized military is expected to be at the forefront of Gorbachev's
objectives that will be discussed during the address.
The forecast for the Soviet Union had looked bleak in January, with rumors
floating that Gorbachev was seeking advice on "glasnost" and "perestroika",
economic reforms that would breathe life into the country's floundering economy
at the cost of centralized control. In the past few months, debates have
raged on whether such reforms would actually promote stability in the Soviet
economy, as well as negative effects it would have on the Proletariat’s tenuous
control over the Union.
The Siberian Find of February uncovered a tremendous oil field that
dwarfs that of the Middle East. The oil field is conservatively estimated at
being three times larger than the combined reserves of the Persian Gulf. The
discovery of the field's "light, sweet crude oil" has already prompted an
intense rise in foreign direct investment in Russia. In the next few months,
economists predict that the Soviet Union's economy will stabilize. A drastic
rebound will be affected once the Soviets can export from the oil field in
any great quantity.
Sources say that it will take at least a year of fierce construction
until the Soviet Union can build an infrastructure capable of dealing with wide-scale drilling and refining. Though many
believe that the mere occurrence of "The February Find" has helped immeasurably already. The vast
potential of such an oil reserve has already led to a resurgence of foreign
investment by such companies as British Petroleum and Shell. Early reports of OPEC consultants from many Middle East countries
being paid high fees by Moscow have begun to circulate. Economists expect other sectors of the economy, particularly industrial suppliers, to follow suit.
Interest from the Chinese has been noticed as well. "You can guarantee that they are going to watch this very closely" says Jim Wilkinson, former chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources. "[The Chinese] have an economy ready to explode. A reserve of this size right outside of their back door is going to create some weather over there."
"The Siberian oil find will be the star of Gorbachev's speech, as well as it should be. " says James Marbury,
spokesman for the Foreign Ministry. "Although the
Premier's plans for the Soviet Union's future will be mostly rhetorical, the
oil find lends the authority to make positive assertions."
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